trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $11 | +$12 | +111% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$12 | +117% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Feb 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Feb 26 | $1 | +$2 | +250% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | Feb 26 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | Feb 26 | $3 | +$8 | +253% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Feb 25 | $46 | −$45 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Feb 25 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on February 25? | Feb 25 | $40 | +$22 | +56% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on February 25? | Feb 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Feb 16 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 16? | Feb 16 | $32 | −$14 | -44% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +42.7% | +29.1% | 67% | 67% | +83.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +42.7% | +29.1% | 67% | 67% | +83.3% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +42.7% | +29.1% | 67% | 67% | +83.3% |
| all | 15 | -10.5% | -19.0% | 33% | 33% | -35.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.0% | 33% | -35.3% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 33% | -41.5% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 33% | -47.2% |
| 20% | -40.3% | 33% | -52.4% |