Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe650…1e3f
crypto · 729 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,949 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,940 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized−$6,940
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses682 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)96%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)744 / 729
History coverage32d
Avg bet$540
Trades / day76.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 744 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$899
7 days−$1,464
14 days−$6,870
30 days−$6,776
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 92¢ 84¢ $104 $95 −$9 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1,980 $0 −$1,980 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$64 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $135 +$20 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $100 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $70 −$66 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $70 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $70 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6,278
other 0% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 93¢ $4 7m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 92¢ $100 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $107 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $90 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $90 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $35 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 91¢ $34 47h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 85¢ $100 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $99 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -33.4% -39.7% 63% 2% -23.2%
≤30d 701 -4.0% -13.1% 92% 6% -11.1%
≤90d 744 -3.8% -13.0% 92% 7% -11.1%
all 744 -3.8% -13.0% 92% 7% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 7% -11.1%
10% -21.3% 3% -19.6%
15% ← realistic here -28.9% 2% -27.4%
20% -35.9% 1% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.48 · official $95.48 (match) · 3500 history records