Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:28:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe64f…6cc3
politics · 578 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$265 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$280 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$514
Realized−$280
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses385 / 184
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions9
Markets (closed)569 / 578
History coverage221d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day5.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 9 History 569 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$254
7 days−$24
14 days+$197
30 days+$475
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No 89¢ 90¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Ebola case in the US by June 30? No 66¢ 85¢ $50 $64 +$14 (+29%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 58¢ 60¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? No 80¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 90¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score No 55¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 76¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No 79¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $50 −$10 -20%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $200 +$16 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 +$6 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$2 -11%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Jun 13 $306 +$16 +5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 +$5 +23%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $20 +$13 +64%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $100 +$9 +9%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$5 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $253 −$59 -23%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $200 −$14 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 −$13 -42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$6 -58%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $303 −$98 -32%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$11 +53%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $50 +$9 +17%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $101 −$19 -19%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 +$16 +32%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" at The Villages on Ma Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16? Jun 11 $221 −$215 -98%
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April? Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $556 −$157 -28%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $100 +$5 +5%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 11 $300 +$79 +26%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $676 +$162 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 −$3 -7%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5 Jun 11 $101 +$26 +26%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $50 +$4 +7%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $101 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 11? Jun 11 $51 −$3 -6%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $404 +$131 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $20 +$3 +16%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $404 +$204 +50%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 10 $402 +$19 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 38% +$1,248
other 22% −$444
politics 11% −$206
sports 9% −$81
world 8% −$784
crypto 6% +$191
tech 4% −$94
weather 1% +$12
culture 0% −$111
economics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $20 50m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 82¢ $20 52m
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $51 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $103 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $103 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 58¢ $10 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 86¢ $17 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 87¢ $17 10h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL No 72¢ $41 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 6¢ $3 11h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 5¢ $3 11h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? BUY No 89¢ $100 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $50 12h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 75¢ $18 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $200 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $50 17h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $20 17h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? SELL No 46¢ $263 17h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? SELL No 46¢ $37 17h
OpenAI IPO before 2027? SELL No 46¢ $23 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 BUY Under 78¢ $20 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $5 24h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $20 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $20 24h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 60¢ $20 26h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 91¢ $50 26h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY No 92¢ $50 26h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? SELL Up 55¢ $194 26h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 92¢ $186 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -13.9% -22.1% 54% 37% -9.8%
≤30d 211 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 43% -7.6%
≤90d 425 -6.3% -15.2% 68% 41% -11.1%
all 569 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 41% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 41% -10.1%
10% -20.8% 19% -18.7%
15% -28.5% 10% -26.5%
20% -35.5% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $514.24 · official $514.24 (match) · 1488 history records