Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe649…51dc
sports · 31 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
+$39,712 +35%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40,051 · open −$339
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 7 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$40,051
7 days+$40,051
14 days+$40,051
30 days+$40,051
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 83¢ 81¢ $3,500 $3,427 −$73 (-2%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 61¢ 57¢ $2,000 $1,883 −$117 (-6%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $1,500 $1,462 −$38 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? No 13¢ 12¢ $500 $465 −$35 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? No $50 $62 +$12 (+25%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? No $100 $36 −$64 (-64%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? No $50 $25 −$25 (-50%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 55¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 41¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 73¢ $1,050 $0 −$1,050 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 15¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 53¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Knicks 49¢ $721 $0 −$721 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 58¢ $2,200 $0 −$2,200 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) PortlandFire 51¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 52¢ $3,750 $0 −$3,750 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 58¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 63¢ $8,900 $0 −$8,900 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $11,234 +$7,379 +66%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $812 −$800 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,547 +$1,184 +77%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $12,169 +$8,686 +71%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $8,999 −$8,900 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4,049 +$2,730 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2,263 −$2,200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3,857 +$861 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $3,872 −$3,750 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2,082 −$2,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1,132 −$1,100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $516 −$500 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5,520 +$3,897 +71%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2,841 +$3,366 +118%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $2,027 −$2,000 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $410 −$400 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $24,324 +$19,267 +79%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $732 −$721 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,016 +$821 +81%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $10,607 +$13,575 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $413 +$325 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $2,049 +$1,029 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $616 +$352 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1,070 −$1,050 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$55,572
crypto 18% −$6,960
other 8% −$8,900
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 83¢ $1,508 5h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 83¢ $1,005 5h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 82¢ $1,005 5h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 50¢ $507 5h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 50¢ $203 5h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 56¢ $101 5h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 61¢ $2,023 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $517 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $309 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $309 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $206 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $206 5h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 99¢ $11,522 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2,528 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $805 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $805 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $801 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $805 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $805 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 81¢ $806 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 89¢ $887 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $908 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $907 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 91¢ $908 6h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 90¢ $897 6h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 59¢ $1,923 8h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Hurricanes 59¢ $2,126 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $1,921 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2,022 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $1,517 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 54% +25.4%
≤30d 24 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 54% +25.4%
≤90d 24 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 54% +25.4%
all 24 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 54% +25.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover169.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 54% +25.4%
10% -22.7% 54% +13.4%
15% ← realistic here -30.2% 50% +2.5%
20% -37.0% 50% -7.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,360.84 · official $7,360.84 (match) · 226 history records