Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:52:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe643…bdd3 crypto 669 markets active 5h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 42d only
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,028 (+5%) realized +$1,028 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate50%333W / 336L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$31per market
Trades / day71.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$469
7 days+$609
14 days+$740
30 days+$374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$453
other 0% −$23
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 49% -4.8%
≤30d 463 -3.3% -12.5% 50% 48% -7.2%
≤90d 669 -4.5% -13.6% 50% 48% -11.6%
all 669 -4.5% -13.6% 50% 48% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 48% -11.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 44% -20.0%
15% -29.4% 42% -27.8%
20% -36.3% 36% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$24 vs −$25 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,028
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses333 / 336
Open positions0
Markets (closed)669 / 669
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$31
Trades / day71.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 669 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $21 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $104 +$118 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $178 −$119 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$26 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $28 +$33 +115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $55 −$50 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $106 +$94 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$43 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$35 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $41 +$43 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $88 +$104 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$27 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $65 +$14 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $44 +$47 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $368 +$28 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$14 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $48 +$50 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$49 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $47 −$26 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $48 +$71 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $49 +$51 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$54 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$57 +142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $36 +$49 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $102 +$95 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $80 +$68 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $61 +$38 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $94 +$95 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$20 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$42 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $58 +$40 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $44 −$43 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $54 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $32 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records