Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe63d…5185
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$5 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses48 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)54 / 55
History coverage22d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$5
14 days−$13
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET Up 94¢ 94¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$6 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$9 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $8 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 07 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 07 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 07 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 06 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 31 $16 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET May 30 $38 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET May 30 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8PM ET May 25 $6 −$1 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 24 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24? May 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 24? May 24 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 24 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $11 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $12 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $9 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $16 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $8 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $17 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -0.1% -9.6% 92% 0% -10.7%
≤30d 54 +2.8% -7.0% 89% 6% -9.1%
≤90d 54 +2.8% -7.0% 89% 6% -9.1%
all 54 +2.8% -7.0% 89% 6% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 6% -9.1%
10% -15.9% 6% -17.8%
15% -24.0% 6% -25.8%
20% -31.5% 6% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.81 · official $2.37 · 117 history records