Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T17:26:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe634…63cc crypto 242 markets active 2h ago coverage 238d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$19 (-1%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate93%226W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day1.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$3
14 days−$1
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$7
other 4% −$8
finance 3% −$2
sports 1% −$10
tech 1% $0
politics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -5.7% -14.7% 92% 4% -10.6%
≤30d 63 -2.1% -11.4% 95% 2% -9.9%
≤90d 242 -2.9% -12.1% 93% 2% -10.3%
all 242 -2.9% -12.1% 93% 2% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 2% -10.3%
10% -20.5% 1% -18.9%
15% -28.2% 1% -26.7%
20% -35.2% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

238d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses226 / 16
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)242 / 242
History coverage238d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 242 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $15 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $13 +$2 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 10AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2? Jun 03 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8AM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1PM ET May 31 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $14 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET May 31 $14 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET May 30 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET May 30 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET May 30 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET May 30 $10 +$1 +9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29? May 29 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 29 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 29 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET May 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 29h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $15 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6d
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $15 6d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 99¢ $15 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 6d
BNB Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 95¢ $9 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? BUY Up 97¢ $10 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1347 history records