Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe620…418b
other · 162 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$1,175 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,180 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$847
Realized+$1,180
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses30 / 129
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions3
Markets (closed)159 / 162
History coverage155d
Avg bet$1,067
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 3 History 159 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$16
14 days−$59
30 days−$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $444 $445 +$2 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? No 100¢ 100¢ $365 $364 −$1 (-0%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 45¢ 38¢ $44 $37 −$6 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 13 $1,840 −$2 -0%
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi Jun 12 $386 −$1 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 10 $617 −$1 -0%
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $529 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $1,740 −$2 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $1,361 −$2 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 08 $772 −$1 -0%
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 08 $2,784 −$3 -0%
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $1,593 −$2 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 07 $705 −$1 -0%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 06 $60 +$42 +70%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 03 $72 −$72 -100%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $754 −$1 -0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 02 $751 −$1 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $1,269 −$1 -0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 02 $39 $0 +0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $678 −$1 -0%
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 01 $3,168 −$4 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 31 $3,544 −$4 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $1,553 −$2 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 27 $1,275 −$2 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $752 −$1 -0%
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 26 $2,563 −$3 -0%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $1,671 −$1 -0%
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 25 $728 −$1 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $1,947 −$2 -0%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) May 22 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 22 $1,228 −$1 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 21 $1,171 −$2 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 20 $1,077 −$2 -0%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 10 $1,216 −$2 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 May 10 $1,161 −$1 -0%
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 10 $2,400 −$3 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 09 $3,627 −$5 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? May 09 $1,287 −$2 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 09 $1,350 −$2 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 08 $1,061 −$2 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $4,401 −$5 -0%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 07 $1,293 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 07 $2,921 −$4 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 06 $1,292 −$2 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $1,058 −$2 -0%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $1,306 −$2 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 04 $1,407 −$2 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $1,305 −$3 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 03 $1,417 −$2 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 02 $1,376 −$2 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $1,323 −$2 -0%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 29 $1,522 +$695 +46%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 22 $2,457 −$2 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$63
politics 32% −$70
sports 12% +$1,322
economics 4% −$5
world 2% −$4
culture 1% −$3
tech 1% −$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $363 1h
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $364 10h
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi SELL No 100¢ $385 26h
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movi BUY No 100¢ $386 34h
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June? BUY No 100¢ $365 36h
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $616 3d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $617 3d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $528 4d
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $529 4d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $709 4d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $710 4d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $671 5d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $672 5d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $771 5d
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $772 5d
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $663 5d
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $664 5d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $711 6d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $712 6d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $704 6d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $705 6d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $879 7d
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $881 7d
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 58¢ $60 9d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $688 10d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $689 10d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $753 11d
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $754 11d
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $750 11d
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $751 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 30 -4.4% -13.5% 7% 3% -9.9%
≤90d 107 -11.6% -20.0% 6% 3% -9.2%
all 159 -0.3% -9.8% 19% 12% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 12% -8.9%
10% -18.4% 12% -17.6%
15% -26.3% 12% -25.6%
20% -33.5% 7% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $846.69 · official $846.69 (match) · 513 history records