Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E6
0xe61f…17d8
crypto · 376 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$46 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$46 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$46
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses307 / 69
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)376 / 376
History coverage43d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 376 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$10
14 days−$7
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 32¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 43¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 96¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Yes $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 89¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 90¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 44¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 77¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 94¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 62¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 89¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No 34¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 45¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 52¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 44¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 26¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 88¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 33¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 90¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 63¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 92¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $15 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$5 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$15 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 09 $18 +$31 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$8 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$5 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 +$5 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 08 $28 +$13 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 08 $19 +$12 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$7 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 06 $33 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 02 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 02 $10 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$91
finance 7% +$30
world 2% +$4
other 1% +$26
sports 1% −$3
tech 1% −$5
culture 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -7.8% -16.5% 45% 45% -10.2%
≤30d 370 -3.4% -12.6% 82% 20% -9.2%
≤90d 376 -4.0% -13.1% 82% 20% -10.0%
all 376 -4.0% -13.1% 82% 20% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 20% -10.0%
10% -21.4% 7% -18.7%
15% -29.0% 6% -26.5%
20% -36.0% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 871 history records