Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe61c…dd8d crypto 830 markets active 0h ago coverage 28d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate64%530W / 300L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day38.4pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$17
14 days−$8
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$13
sports 4% −$10
weather 0% −$1
other 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 +6.2% -3.9% 70% 67% -6.9%
≤30d 830 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 44% -11.4%
≤90d 830 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 44% -11.4%
all 830 -1.5% -10.9% 64% 44% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 44% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 34% -19.9%
15% -27.2% 28% -27.6%
20% -34.3% 24% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
29% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses530 / 300
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)830 / 830
History coverage28d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 830 Trades
no open positions (222 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +21%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.01 (match) · 1527 history records