Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:52:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E6 0xe611…2970 sports 81 markets active 1h ago coverage 20d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$39 (-0%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate59%48W / 33L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day9.6pace
Fees−$99est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$222
7 days−$594
14 days−$612
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$106
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -23.5% -30.8% 48% 45% -23.2%
≤30d 81 -1.1% -10.6% 59% 56% -8.4%
≤90d 81 -1.1% -10.6% 59% 56% -8.4%
all 81 -1.1% -10.6% 59% 56% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 56% -8.4%
10% -19.1% 47% -17.1%
15% -26.9% 38% -25.1%
20% -34.1% 26% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$60 vs −$83 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses48 / 33
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage20d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 18 $203 +$162 +80%
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally Jun 18 $202 +$86 +42%
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Jun 18 $101 +$46 +46%
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng Jun 17 $101 +$50 +50%
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 17 $100 +$15 +14%
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 17 $101 −$101 -100%
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery Jun 17 $242 −$93 -38%
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro Jun 17 $91 −$91 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 17 $205 +$147 +72%
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka Jun 16 $101 +$44 +43%
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic Jun 16 $202 +$105 +52%
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 16 $104 −$104 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Damm Jun 16 $105 +$48 +46%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 16 $164 −$164 -100%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $110 +$117 +106%
Grass Court Championships: Magdalena Frech vs Eva Lys Jun 16 $101 +$52 +51%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 16 $152 −$152 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 16 $153 +$47 +31%
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $98 −$98 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $57 −$23 -40%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $101 +$32 +32%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 15 $304 −$304 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $77 −$77 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $93 +$107 +116%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $100 +$14 +14%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $84 −$84 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $100 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $103 +$120 +117%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $144 +$127 +88%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $103 −$94 -91%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $84 −$81 -96%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $37 +$109 +297%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $28 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $57 −$57 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $106 −$106 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $101 +$21 +21%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $63 +$109 +172%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $101 +$46 +46%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $46 +$104 +226%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $104 +$80 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Viktorija Golubic 100¢ $362 41m
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally SELL Karolina Pliskova 100¢ $288 1h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Viktorija Golubic 65¢ $101 1h
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina SELL Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 100¢ $147 1h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez SELL Viktorija Golubic 56¢ $3 1h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Viktorija Golubic 46¢ $85 1h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Viktorija Golubic 49¢ $2 1h
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmez BUY Viktorija Golubic 53¢ $15 1h
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally BUY Karolina Pliskova 71¢ $101 2h
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Caty McNally BUY Karolina Pliskova 68¢ $101 2h
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 68¢ $101 2h
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Qinwen Zheng BUY Talia Gibson 66¢ $101 19h
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedev BUY Daniil Medvedev 87¢ $100 20h
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery SELL Arthur Fery 100¢ $149 22h
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassime BUY Learner Tien 66¢ $101 22h
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery BUY Arthur Fery 67¢ $101 22h
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery BUY Adrian Mannarino 42¢ $80 23h
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery BUY Adrian Mannarino 41¢ $61 23h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala SELL Alexandra Eala 100¢ $106 24h
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarro BUY Yulia Starodubtseva 45¢ $91 25h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Alexandra Eala 94¢ $100 26h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova SELL Nikola Bartunkova 100¢ $351 27h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 35¢ $1 27h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 35¢ $1 27h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 50¢ $102 27h
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Nikola Bartunkova 66¢ $101 27h
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia BUY Stefano Travaglia 31¢ $49 28h
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka SELL Jiri Lehecka 100¢ $145 42h
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 69¢ $101 43h
HSBC Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Hamad Medjedovic SELL Hamad Medjedovic 100¢ $307 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 250 history records