trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 10 | -50.1% | -54.9% | 40% | 10% | -59.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.9% | 10% | -59.3% |
| 10% | -59.2% | 10% | -63.2% |
| 15% | -63.2% | 0% | -66.7% |
| 20% | -66.8% | 0% | -70.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $150 | $149 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5 | Over | 1¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $4 | −$2 (-30%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 | Jun 19 | $93 | −$92 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2PM ET | Jan 08 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1PM ET | Jan 08 | $73 | +$1 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET | Jan 08 | $70 | +$5 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET | Jan 08 | $132 | −$65 | -49% |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on January 8? | Jan 07 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on January 2? | Jan 03 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 7 | Dec 23 | $8 | +$2 | +25% |
| Adobe (ADBE) Up or Down After Earnings? | Dec 11 | $30 | −$27 | -90% |
| Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings? | Dec 10 | $67 | −$28 | -42% |