Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T00:16:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe5fe…caab crypto 8 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$878 (-59%) realized −$878 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -79% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -83% what you keep after slip
Net edge-83%after slip
Net WR12%break-even
Win rate12%1W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$186per market
Trades / day12.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$878
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-81.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -79.2% -81.1% 12% 12% -65.9%
≤30d 8 -79.2% -81.1% 12% 12% -65.9%
≤90d 8 -79.2% -81.1% 12% 12% -65.9%
all 8 -79.2% -81.1% 12% 12% -65.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -81.1% 12% -65.9%
10% -82.9% 12% -69.1%
15% -84.6% 12% -72.1%
20% -86.1% 12% -74.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 100% · top 2 100% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -62% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -79% · $-wt -62% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$213 vs −$156 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$878
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses1 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$186
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 8 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 22 $85 −$78 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 22 $170 −$160 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 22 $298 −$277 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $353 −$333 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 22 $168 −$155 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $319 +$213 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 22 $72 −$66 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 22 $24 −$22 -91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $170 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $238 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $353 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $120 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $532 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $319 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $36 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $24 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records