trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 23 | +4.0% | -5.9% | 35% | 4% | -6.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.9% | 4% | -6.4% |
| 10% | -14.9% | 4% | -15.4% |
| 15% | -23.1% | 4% | -23.5% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 4% | -31.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 08 | $3 | $0 | -1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 05 | $72 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $38 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Dec 12 | $1 | $0 | -35% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 12 | $11 | +$13 | +127% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 02 | $18 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Oct 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 24 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Oct 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Oct 23 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 23 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? | Oct 23 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Oct 05 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Sep 30 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 23 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? | Aug 13 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Aug 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 13 | $28 | $0 | +0% |