trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +12.7% | +2.0% | 50% | 50% | -24.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +61.7% | +46.3% | 83% | 83% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 50% | 50% | -10.7% |
| all | 12 | +16.6% | +5.5% | 50% | 50% | -10.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.5% | 50% | -10.7% |
| 10% | -4.6% | 50% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -13.8% | 33% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -22.3% | 33% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $76 | $75 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $309 | −$234 | -76% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $154 | +$156 | +101% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $46 | +$44 | +97% |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | May 30 | $33 | +$9 | +28% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | May 29 | $18 | +$33 | +188% |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | May 29 | $8 | +$3 | +32% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | Apr 15 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Apr 14 | $14 | −$4 | -30% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18? | Mar 24 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |