Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5f7…7714
crypto · 515 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,252 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,201 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$15,201
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses350 / 254
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$72
Open positions2
Markets (closed)604 / 515
History coverage60d
Avg bet$116
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 604 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8,532
7 days−$8,532
14 days−$8,532
30 days−$10,559
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $24 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 15¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 10¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $396 $0 −$396 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs MIBR 79¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner GenOne 15¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3) TheMongolz 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Gentle Mates 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$22 -277%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$135 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $396 −$396 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs Jun 12 $28 −$172 -612%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Passion UA (BO3) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$82 -807%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $223 −$223 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $324 −$324 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $856 −$856 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $240 −$240 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $375 −$375 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $250 −$250 -100%
Patriots vs. Bengals Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Gro Jun 12 $479 −$479 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs 9INE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $300 −$300 -100%
Dolphins vs. Browns Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$260 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3) Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Ursa - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$91 -453%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $80 +$56 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$26 -371%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Playof Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$5,714
sports 8% −$852
world 1% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $36 15m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $13 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 55¢ $20 25m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 74¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $201 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $55 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $48 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $47 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $13 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $18 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $17 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $22 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $4 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $205 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $304 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $55 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $52 50m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 23¢ $56 51m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $1,099 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $68 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 60¢ $75 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $1,045 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $17 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -70.7% -73.5% 20% 10% -62.3%
≤30d 204 -47.8% -52.8% 35% 16% -45.5%
≤90d 604 -21.2% -28.7% 58% 19% -28.2%
all 604 -21.2% -28.7% 58% 19% -28.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.7% 19% -28.2%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 15% -35.0%
15% -41.8% 12% -41.3%
20% -47.5% 10% -47.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.66 · official $24.66 (match) · 3500 history records