Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:25:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5f6…d0ea
crypto · 905 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$228 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$224 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$224
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses761 / 142
Open positions2
Markets (closed)903 / 905
History coverage19d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day91.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 903 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$142
14 days−$231
30 days−$224
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 76¢ 62¢ $19 $16 −$3 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $64 −$39 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $108 +$33 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$7 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$10 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$228
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 408 -3.4% -12.6% 75% 9% -12.2%
≤30d 903 -2.7% -12.0% 84% 7% -10.4%
≤90d 903 -2.7% -12.0% 84% 7% -10.4%
all 903 -2.7% -12.0% 84% 7% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 7% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 3% -18.9%
15% -28.1% 2% -26.8%
20% -35.1% 2% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.15 · official $14.90 · 2542 history records