Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5f6…63a8
crypto · 508 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$524 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$996 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$996
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses254 / 254
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)508 / 508
History coverage87d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day13.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 508 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$196
14 days−$223
30 days−$428
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$21 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$19 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $59 +$22 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$35 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $59 +$32 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $21 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $33 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$16 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$11 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $14 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$15 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$6 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$8 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$11 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $12 −$6 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$935
other 1% −$56
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $20 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $21 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 3¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $6 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $25 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $27 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $22 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $81 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $52 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $31 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $61 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -11.2% -19.7% 44% 41% -20.3%
≤30d 245 -10.8% -19.3% 49% 45% -18.1%
≤90d 508 -12.1% -20.4% 50% 43% -19.0%
all 508 -12.1% -20.4% 50% 43% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.4% 43% -19.0%
10% -28.1% 34% -26.8%
15% -35.0% 26% -33.9%
20% -41.4% 17% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1327 history records