Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5e1…af80
crypto · 1380 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$39 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses780 / 600
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1380 / 1380
History coverage30d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day84.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days−$382
14 days−$12
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$9 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$8 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 532 -17.2% -25.1% 46% 46% -23.0%
≤30d 1341 -0.9% -10.4% 57% 53% -10.0%
≤90d 1380 -0.8% -10.2% 57% 52% -10.0%
all 1380 -0.8% -10.2% 57% 52% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 52% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 46% -18.6%
15% -26.7% 34% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 26% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records