Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:48:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5df…4241
crypto · 50 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$44 +41%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses26 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown34%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$44
7 days+$44
14 days+$44
30 days+$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$30 +282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +213%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +5.8% -4.3% 52% 52% +28.8%
≤30d 50 +5.8% -4.3% 52% 52% +28.8%
≤90d 50 +5.8% -4.3% 52% 52% +28.8%
all 50 +5.8% -4.3% 52% 52% +28.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.3% 52% +28.8%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 44% +16.5%
15% -21.8% 40% +5.2%
20% -29.5% 34% -5.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 110 history records