trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -0.6% | -10.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $103 | $103 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 15 | $227 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 15 | $249 | $0 | -0% |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Jun 15 | $20 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 13 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju | Jun 13 | $226 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $120 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $223 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 11 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 11 | $215 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 10 | $332 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 07 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 07 | $205 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 07 | $455 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 05 | $170 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 05 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 03 | $196 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Jun 03 | $217 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 02 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i | May 30 | $215 | $0 | -0% |
| Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on | May 30 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 29 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 29 | $229 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $230 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $222 | $0 | -0% |