Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5db…f982
crypto · 1224 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,124 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,082 · open −$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$400
Realized−$9,082
Unrealized−$26
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses619 / 600
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$166
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1219 / 1224
History coverage102d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day30.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 5 History 1219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$226
7 days−$184
14 days−$783
30 days−$286
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $100 −$0 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $96 $96 −$0 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $100 $92 −$8 (-8%)
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $30 $15 −$15 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 37¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1,162 $0 −$1,162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$56 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$90 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$23 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$59 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$73 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$52 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $97 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$51 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$21 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$25 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$11 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$47 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$12 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$7 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$55 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$35 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$19 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$21 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$32 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$104 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$39 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$32 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$61 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$30 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$44 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$34 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 49% −$576
other 33% −$7,977
sports 17% −$522
economics 0% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $87 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $193 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $79 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $135 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 458 +3.7% -6.2% 53% 45% -10.3%
≤30d 1004 -2.4% -11.7% 56% 42% -10.2%
≤90d 1191 -5.4% -14.4% 51% 39% -25.5%
all 1219 -3.7% -12.9% 51% 39% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 39% -23.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 25% -30.9%
15% -28.8% 19% -37.6%
20% -35.8% 14% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $399.63 · official $399.84 (match) · 3500 history records