trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 10 | -9.9% | -18.5% | 80% | 0% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 87% | 13% | -11.2% |
| all | 15 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 87% | 13% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -10.6% | 13% | -11.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -19.1% | 7% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 7% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 20 | $6,340 | −$3,076 | -48% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5,050 | +$292 | +6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $3,870 | +$222 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $4,500 | −$3,781 | -84% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $8,983 | +$358 | +4% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5? | Jun 05 | $1,000 | +$32 | +3% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? | Jun 04 | $3,000 | +$102 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $9,946 | +$344 | +4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | May 31 | $5,000 | +$288 | +6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? | May 28 | $2,100 | +$50 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 27 | $7,393 | +$780 | +11% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $6,919 | +$474 | +7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 12 | $5,000 | +$406 | +8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026? | May 06 | $1,000 | +$100 | +10% |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t | Apr 13 | $4,414 | +$2,025 | +46% |