Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:40:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
E5 0xe5c7…b428 crypto 114 markets active 3d ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (119 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$4,292 (+24%) realized +$4,292 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate52%59W / 55L
Drawdown14%max
Avg bet$159per market
Trades / day118.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$12
14 days+$417
30 days+$3,149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (119 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +18.9% +7.6% 54% 46% -8.6%
≤30d 114 +17.2% +6.0% 52% 46% +7.5%
≤90d 114 +17.2% +6.0% 52% 46% +7.5%
all 114 +17.2% +6.0% 52% 46% +7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover118.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 46% +7.5%
10% ← realistic here -4.1% 41% -2.8%
15% -13.4% 32% -12.2%
20% -21.9% 25% -20.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +17% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
23.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$96 vs −$45 · ×2.11 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.27 per $1 lost it wins $2.27
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,292
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses59 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage22d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day118.8
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $100 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $24 +$8 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $76 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $71 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$23 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $84 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$96 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $150 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $122 −$76 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $49 −$29 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $233 −$54 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$27 +279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 09 $161 +$47 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $169 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 09 $74 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $202 −$33 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $163 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $241 −$25 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $166 +$46 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $105 +$58 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $96 +$31 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $161 +$46 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 07 $185 +$101 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $42 −$40 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $66 +$175 +263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 07 $31 −$29 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 07 $89 +$36 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 07 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $22 −$21 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $232 −$7 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 06 $146 −$18 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 06 $198 +$70 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 06 $34 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $105 −$26 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $98 +$35 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $36 +$31 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 30 $164 +$49 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 30 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 30 $4 +$13 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 29 $17 +$36 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $73 −$9 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 29 $174 +$56 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $79 +$185 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 29 $226 +$23 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $7 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2720 history records