Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a9…5d3c
crypto · 780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$71 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$68
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses392 / 383
Open positions5
Markets (closed)775 / 780
History coverage39d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day27.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 775 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$94
7 days+$94
14 days−$49
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 70¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 65¢ 74¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 60¢ 68¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 62¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +54%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$56
weather 17% −$14
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 291 +1.7% -7.9% 63% 63% -3.7%
≤30d 579 +2.1% -7.6% 61% 59% -10.5%
≤90d 775 -5.7% -14.7% 51% 49% -11.4%
all 775 -5.7% -14.7% 51% 49% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 49% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 47% -19.9%
15% -30.3% 43% -27.6%
20% -37.1% 40% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.06 · official $20.59 · 1468 history records