Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:46:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a5…6ca4
crypto · 29 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$42 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses12 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage4d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day11.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$142
7 days+$42
14 days+$42
30 days+$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$138 +522%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$61 +232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$25 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$56 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$26 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$43 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$14 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $103 −$100 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$142
other 15% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $165 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $26 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $26 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $51 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $22 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $26 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 +2.7% -7.0% 41% 41% -3.8%
≤30d 29 +2.7% -7.0% 41% 41% -3.8%
≤90d 29 +2.7% -7.0% 41% 41% -3.8%
all 29 +2.7% -7.0% 41% 41% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.0% 41% -3.8%
10% -15.9% 41% -13.0%
15% -24.1% 38% -21.4%
20% -31.5% 34% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 55 history records