Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:11:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a4…8eac
other · 1180 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$32 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$29
Realized+$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1172 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1174 / 1180
History coverage107d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day11.2
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 5 History 1174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$25
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Galway United FC 1 - 0 Dundalk FC? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Promise David: 2+ goals No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will "Outlast: The Jungle" be the top global Netflix show this week? No 96¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 2 Drogheda United FC? No 100¢ 90¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Galway United FC 1 - 0 Dundalk FC? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs. Escobar/Kittay: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: FathUnionSport 3 - 2 Maghreb AS de Fès? Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Spread: Kawkab AC (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Haita vs. Andreescu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Contri vs. Durand: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Flores vs. Mosejczuk: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Mettraux vs. Stankovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Mettraux vs. Stankovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Shiraishi vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Set Handicap: Kim (-1.5) vs Yamasaki (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Nishimura vs. Mushika: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Pavel Šulc: 3+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Yamazaki vs. Yoshimoto: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Oh Hyeongyu: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Brandon Lowe: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Obed Vargas: 1+ shots Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Luis Romo: 1+ goals Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Marinkov vs. Chan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: illwill (-3.5) vs RUSTEC (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Set 1 Winner: Arias/Ingildsen vs Forcano/Vervoort Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs KOLESIE (+3.5) Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Papoe vs. Papoe: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Bachir vs. Garcia: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Herea vs. Mazzola: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Roger Pascual Ferra vs. Isaac Becroft: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Meza vs. Cecchinato: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Zaytseva vs. Shang: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Ferra vs. Becroft: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% +$9
sports 47% +$8
politics 1% +$1
world 1% +$14
weather 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
finance 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Promise David: 2+ goals BUY No 100¢ $5 7m
Exact Score: Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC 0 - 2 Drogheda United FC? BUY No 100¢ $5 29m
Exact Score: Galway United FC 1 - 0 Dundalk FC? BUY No 100¢ $5 35m
Bollipalli/Hilderbrand vs. Escobar/Kittay: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 1h
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 1h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Draw at halftime? BUY No 100¢ $5 2h
Will Rosie Pino be the Republican nominee for NJ-09? BUY Yes 97¢ $5 2h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-4.5) vs Team Heretics (+4.5) BUY Team Vitality 100¢ $5 3h
Exact Score: FathUnionSport 3 - 2 Maghreb AS de Fès? BUY No 100¢ $5 4h
Spread: Kawkab AC (-2.5) BUY OC Safi 100¢ $5 4h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 6h
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 6h
Haita vs. Andreescu: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $4 7h
Mazdrashki vs. Gima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 7h
Contri vs. Durand: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 8h
Game 2: Any Player Rampage? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 8h
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 9h
Cordoba vs. Maksimovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 9h
Set 1 Winner: Neel/Olmos vs Haverlag/Lumsden BUY Neel/Olmos 100¢ $4 10h
Flores vs. Mosejczuk: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 100¢ $5 10h
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) BUY G2 Ares 100¢ $5 10h
Mettraux vs. Stankovic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 11h
Mettraux vs. Stankovic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 11h
Bielinska vs. Mi: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 11h
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs Team Liquid ID (+2.5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 100¢ $5 12h
Nishimura vs. Mushika: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 100¢ $5 14h
Set Handicap: Kim (-1.5) vs Yamasaki (+1.5) BUY Kim 100¢ $5 14h
Pavel Šulc: 3+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 14h
Lukáš Provod: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $5 14h
Shiraishi vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 213 +0.4% -9.1% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 405 +1.4% -8.3% 100% 1% -8.3%
≤90d 1077 +0.7% -8.9% 100% 1% -8.9%
all 1174 +0.6% -8.9% 100% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.9% 1% -9.0%
10% -17.7% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.6% 0% -25.7%
20% -32.9% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.34 · official $29.34 (match) · 2646 history records