Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:05:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe5a1…9f78
crypto · 39 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$110
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses11 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)35 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day133.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$110
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 89¢ 88¢ $59 $59 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15? Yes 27¢ 15¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-42%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15? Yes 30¢ 34¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$9 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$24 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$25 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$6 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$6 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -29%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $150 +$13 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$10 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$9 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$122
sports 24% +$12
weather 2% −$6
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 89¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-37.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 20% -27.4%
≤30d 35 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 20% -27.4%
≤90d 35 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 20% -27.4%
all 35 -31.1% -37.7% 31% 20% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.7% 20% -27.4%
10% ← realistic here -43.6% 11% -34.3%
15% -49.1% 6% -40.7%
20% -54.1% 6% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.84 · official $82.84 (match) · 190 history records