Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:57:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe597…c737
crypto · 187 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses63 / 123
Open positions1
Markets (closed)186 / 187
History coverage15d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$31
14 days−$107
30 days−$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 22¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$4 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$2 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -14.1% -22.3% 35% 31% -22.0%
≤30d 186 -21.3% -28.8% 34% 30% -22.7%
≤90d 186 -21.3% -28.8% 34% 30% -22.7%
all 186 -21.3% -28.8% 34% 30% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.8% 30% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -35.6% 24% -30.1%
15% -41.8% 18% -36.8%
20% -47.5% 12% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.70 · official $0.30 (match) · 807 history records