Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:40:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe593…9974
crypto · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses4 / 7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)11 / 13
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day8.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 2 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 +$21 +64%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $3 $0 -10%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 11 $48 −$12 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 51% −$12
other 39% +$17
crypto 10% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 3h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 5¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 24h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 2¢ $1 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $53 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 93¢ $20 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $13 28h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 22¢ $3 31h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 3¢ $30 31h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 35h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $3 36h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect SELL Yes 2¢ $6 36h
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 3¢ $27 2d
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect BUY Yes 3¢ $21 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 36% -7.6%
≤30d 11 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 36% -7.6%
≤90d 11 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 36% -7.6%
all 11 -17.1% -25.0% 36% 36% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.0% 36% -7.6%
10% -32.2% 27% -16.5%
15% -38.7% 27% -24.5%
20% -44.8% 27% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.38 · official $2.38 (match) · 23 history records