Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe58e…346c crypto 1985 markets active 2h ago coverage 37d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 36d only
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$69 (-0%) realized −$69 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate69%1517W / 674L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day54.1pace
Kalshi-fit75%portable
Net worth$4now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,150
7 days−$943
14 days−$434
30 days−$273
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$816
other 5% −$92
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -51.5% -56.1% 37% 27% -38.0%
≤30d 1405 -16.4% -24.4% 64% 49% -11.2%
≤90d 2191 -9.3% -18.0% 69% 54% -11.1%
all 2191 -9.3% -18.0% 69% 54% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.0% 54% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 33% -19.6%
15% -33.0% 21% -27.4%
20% -39.6% 13% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
17% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -21% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$8 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$4
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1517 / 674
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2191 / 1985
History coverage37d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day54.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 2191 Trades
no open positions (497 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $83 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $0 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $89 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $87 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 9h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 22h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 22h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.63 · official $3.63 (match) · 3500 history records