Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:58:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe58c…25c0 crypto 692 markets active 2d ago coverage 28d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (60 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$75 (-3%) realized −$75 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate54%377W / 315L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day60.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$35
30 days−$137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$127
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (60 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -9.4% -18.1% 57% 14% -17.7%
≤30d 645 -2.3% -11.6% 54% 30% -14.2%
≤90d 692 -0.0% -9.5% 54% 32% -13.7%
all 692 -0.0% -9.5% 54% 32% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 32% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 27% -21.9%
15% -26.1% 23% -29.5%
20% -33.3% 18% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

28d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$75
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses377 / 315
Open positions0
Markets (closed)692 / 692
History coverage28d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 692 Trades
no open positions (122 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $7 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 24 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 21 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 19 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2463 history records