Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe588…6fbb
crypto · 1660 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized−$23
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1574 / 79
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1653 / 1660
History coverage38d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day46.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 1653 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days+$37
14 days+$3
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+18%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$16
other 0% −$1
world 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $14 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 712 -0.0% -9.5% 97% 3% -9.2%
≤30d 1648 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 6% -9.6%
≤90d 1653 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 6% -9.7%
all 1653 -0.6% -10.1% 95% 6% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 6% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -18.3%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.56 · official $23.56 (match) · 3316 history records