Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe581…d77a
sports · 720 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$266 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$266 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$266
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses309 / 411
Est. fees paid−$91
Open positions0
Markets (closed)720 / 720
History coverage18d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day167.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 720 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$191
14 days−$247
30 days−$266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Under 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Golden State Valkyries 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Athletics 39¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Golden State Valkyries 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Over 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $16 +$4 +22%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) Jun 13 $6 −$4 -64%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $6 +$2 +39%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $6 +$2 +37%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 −$2 -52%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $6 −$1 -26%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$1 -22%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 $0 -19%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $9 −$2 -24%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $7 −$2 -21%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 -10%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$1 -30%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 −$3 -56%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$1 -55%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $21 +$7 +34%
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5) Jun 13 $9 $0 -2%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $38 −$1 -2%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $16 +$6 +37%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $23 −$4 -18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $11 −$4 -36%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $20 −$1 -4%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 13 $8 −$4 -49%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $15 $0 -3%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) Jun 13 $23 −$9 -41%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $23 −$5 -20%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $10 −$9 -89%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $55 −$4 -7%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $34 −$17 -50%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $55 −$7 -13%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $36 −$11 -30%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $34 +$7 +22%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +37%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $24 +$2 +8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $25 −$2 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$253
weather 5% −$12
culture 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 8¢ $0 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) SELL Colorado Rockies 97¢ $2 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) SELL Colorado Rockies 24¢ $0 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 SELL Under 92¢ $6 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 SELL Under 89¢ $6 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 SELL Under 83¢ $6 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 SELL Under 70¢ $2 12h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 84¢ $1 12h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm SELL Golden State Valkyries 100¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) SELL Colorado Rockies 83¢ $11 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) SELL Athletics 77¢ $11 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 SELL Over 24¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 SELL Over 56¢ $8 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 66¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 43¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 50¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 47¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 52¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 71¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 66¢ $1 12h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 48¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 40¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 26¢ $2 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 61¢ $4 12h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 33¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 72¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 12h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 88¢ $1 12h
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) SELL Seattle Storm 99¢ $2 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 -13.5% -21.7% 39% 32% -17.6%
≤30d 720 -10.2% -18.8% 43% 35% -13.8%
≤90d 720 -10.2% -18.8% 43% 35% -13.8%
all 720 -10.2% -18.8% 43% 35% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover167.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.8% 35% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 23% -22.1%
15% -33.6% 16% -29.6%
20% -40.2% 10% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records