Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:49:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe57f…7337
crypto · 1082 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$126 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$126
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses931 / 151
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1082 / 1082
History coverage61d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1082 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$307
14 days+$319
30 days+$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 93¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 94¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 90¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 95¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 61¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Dota 2: Stray Team vs SoloTeam (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs Stray Team 48¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 70¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 97¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 85¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 92¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Xtreme Gaming 46¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 13¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 91¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 55¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner Miposhka Team 60¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 88¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Natus Vincere 43¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Spirit 51¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 77¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 25¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner Team Spirit 48¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $255 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $251 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$16 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$19 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$12 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$9 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $135 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $156 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $185 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $185 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $185 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $175 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $175 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $125 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $125 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $36 +$11 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$387
sports 6% −$440
other 0% −$74
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $55 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $255 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $251 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $11 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +4.6% -5.3% 88% 25% -6.6%
≤30d 350 -0.8% -10.2% 86% 23% -7.9%
≤90d 1082 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 26% -9.8%
all 1082 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 26% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 26% -9.8%
10% -18.9% 11% -18.4%
15% -26.7% 7% -26.3%
20% -33.9% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2316 history records