Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe57d…9c3f
sports · 7 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$3 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses4 / 2
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 7
History coverage2d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day9.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Top Esports 40¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $72 −$71 -99%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $71 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$5 -8%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $23 +$5 +21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$25 +148%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $72 +$31 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$32
sports 20% +$2
crypto 17% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $29 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $72 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 73¢ $80 8h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $71 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $30 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $22 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 24h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster 6¢ $9 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 4¢ $6 26h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL KT Rolster 28¢ $20 27h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY KT Rolster 24¢ $17 28h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster 54¢ $43 28h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 21¢ $17 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 69¢ $103 33h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $72 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +19.3% +8.0% 67% 67% -11.3%
≤30d 6 +19.3% +8.0% 67% 67% -11.3%
≤90d 6 +19.3% +8.0% 67% 67% -11.3%
all 6 +19.3% +8.0% 67% 67% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.0% 67% -11.3%
10% -2.4% 33% -19.8%
15% -11.8% 33% -27.5%
20% -20.5% 17% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.04 (match) · 17 history records