Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T16:37:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe573…7b06 crypto 86 markets active 18d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (937 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$24 (-3%) realized −$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate58%50W / 36L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day937.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (937 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 86 -5.4% -14.4% 58% 44% -13.8%
≤90d 86 -5.4% -14.4% 58% 44% -13.8%
all 86 -5.4% -14.4% 58% 44% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover937.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 44% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 28% -22.1%
15% -30.1% 10% -29.6%
20% -36.9% 2% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
24% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses50 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)86 / 86
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day937.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 86 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $14 −$11 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$15 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$4 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $23 −$16 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 10 $13 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 10 $22 −$21 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$5 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 10 $14 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 10 $17 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $24 −$11 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $19 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 18d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 18d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1022 history records