Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T18:08:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe550…65b7 other 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$14 (-5%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$52per market
Trades / day13.0pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -5.4% -14.4% 0% 0% -14.3%
≤30d 4 -5.4% -14.4% 0% 0% -14.3%
≤90d 4 -5.4% -14.4% 0% 0% -14.3%
all 4 -5.4% -14.4% 0% 0% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 0% -14.3%
10% -22.6% 0% -22.5%
15% -30.1% 0% -30.0%
20% -36.9% 0% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$3 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 4 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Yes 83¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $26 −$1 -6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $169 −$9 -5%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $31 −$2 -7%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $31 −$1 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 15¢ $24 1h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $26 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 20¢ $49 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $51 1h
Will England win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 83¢ $5 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 20¢ $78 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $82 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $29 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $31 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 20¢ $34 1h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 20¢ $36 1h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 34¢ $29 3h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 34¢ $31 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.03 · official $5.03 (match) · 13 history records