Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe53a…b9d9
crypto · 1811 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$658 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses993 / 818
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1811 / 1811
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day88.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1811 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +146%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 264 +1.9% -7.8% 69% 66% -5.5%
≤30d 1811 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 52% -12.5%
≤90d 1811 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 52% -12.5%
all 1811 -4.2% -13.3% 55% 52% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover88.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.3% 52% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.6% 44% -20.9%
15% -29.2% 37% -28.5%
20% -36.1% 28% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records