Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:57:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe535…5622
sports · 319 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses284 / 29
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions6
Markets (closed)313 / 319
History coverage16d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 6 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$6
14 days+$10
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs OLDBOYS- 91¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+10%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? No 97¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? No 95¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena end in a draw? No 74¢ 74¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus? No 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Under 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-05-29? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4? No 98¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? No 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? No 89¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5) AC Monza 92¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4? Yes 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 5.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Under 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner Grind Back 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Over 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 5.5 Under 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game 1: Any Player Rampage? No 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $6 +$1 +8%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Tomáš Souček: 1+ goals Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 $0 +3%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $6 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 $0 +6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $6 +$1 +10%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 1 - 2 Landskrona BoIS? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +8%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $4 +$1 +18%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will PPI YoY be between 6.0% and 6.9% in May? Jun 11 $4 $0 +11%
Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 198.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Exact Score: SC Recife 0 - 2 Athletic Club? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bolivia leading at halftime? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +13%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $4 +$1 +20%
Will Oracle Q4 Remaining Performance Obligations be above $500B? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $4 +$1 +20%
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Nigeria? Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $5 $0 +11%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qual Jun 10 $3 +$1 +18%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
HYPE Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +18%
Will Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May? Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May? Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$3
other 36% +$12
weather 11% −$16
finance 2% +$2
tech 1% +$3
culture 1% $0
economics 1% +$1
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 94¢ $6 30m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 95¢ $6 46m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 97¢ $6 49m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $6 50m
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 91¢ $6 1h
Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena end in a draw? BUY No 74¢ $5 1h
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 Week of June 8 2026? BUY No 90¢ $1 3h
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $6 4h
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $6 5h
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 85¢ $6 5h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 85¢ $6 5h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $6 6h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 84¢ $6 9h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 83¢ $6 21h
Tomáš Souček: 1+ goals BUY No 89¢ $6 22h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 83¢ $6 22h
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals BUY No 94¢ $6 22h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? BUY No 98¢ $6 23h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 92¢ $6 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $6 23h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 97¢ $6 23h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY No 93¢ $6 23h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 94¢ $6 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 96¢ $6 27h
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Down 83¢ $6 28h
Exact Score: Helsingborgs IF 1 - 2 Landskrona BoIS? BUY No 92¢ $6 29h
Will Adobe Q2 total ARR be above $26.0B? BUY Yes 96¢ $5 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? BUY No 97¢ $6 30h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 88¢ $6 30h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY No 83¢ $6 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 +0.9% -8.7% 91% 41% -8.9%
≤30d 313 +0.1% -9.5% 91% 40% -9.5%
≤90d 313 +0.1% -9.5% 91% 40% -9.5%
all 313 +0.1% -9.5% 91% 40% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 40% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.38 · official $36.38 (match) · 606 history records