trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 73 | -65.8% | -69.1% | 15% | 15% | -80.6% |
| ≤30d | 157 | -19.2% | -26.9% | 34% | 32% | -49.7% |
| ≤90d | 569 | -17.2% | -25.1% | 36% | 35% | -33.2% |
| all | 1585 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 46% | 44% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 44% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 43% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 42% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 41% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $150 | $183 | +$33 (+22%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 7¢ | $150 | $101 | −$49 (-33%) |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers | Chicago White Sox | 45¢ | 46¢ | $81 | $84 | +$3 (+3%) |
| San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers | San Diego Padres | 45¢ | 46¢ | $81 | $82 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves | Milwaukee Brewers | 45¢ | 44¢ | $76 | $76 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 81¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | No | 7¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+39%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-33%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 20 | $98 | −$2 | -2% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers | Jun 19 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 18 | $76 | +$84 | +109% |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 18 | $61 | +$69 | +114% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers | Jun 17 | $73 | +$87 | +119% |
| New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 15 | $75 | −$75 | -100% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$102 | +101% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 14 | $70 | +$80 | +113% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 14 | $73 | +$87 | +119% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 14 | $75 | +$105 | +140% |
| Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 14 | $76 | +$84 | +109% |
| Kraken vs. Flames | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 13 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Senators | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners | Jun 13 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knights | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Senators | Jun 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Devils | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Utah | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Predators vs. Oilers | Jun 13 | $80 | −$80 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Flyers | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Devils | Jun 13 | $160 | −$160 | -100% |
| Avalanche vs. Lightning | Jun 13 | $260 | −$128 | -49% |
| Predators vs. Oilers | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on February | Jun 13 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Flyers | Jun 13 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Kraken | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Stars vs. Hurricanes | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Blue Jackets | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Utah vs. Flames | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Utah | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Blackhawks vs. Canadiens | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Senators vs. Kraken | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Kraken | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Bruins vs. Red Wings | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Lightning vs. Sharks | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Blackhawks | Jun 13 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Lightning | Jun 13 | $131 | −$131 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Avalanche | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Pacers | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 13 | $92 | −$92 | -100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 13 | $151 | −$151 | -100% |
| Islanders vs. Panthers | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Panthers | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? | Jun 13 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Oilers | Jun 13 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Capitals vs. Flyers | Jun 13 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $163 | −$163 | -100% |