Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe527…2131
crypto · 91 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
−$5,574 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,378 · open −$198
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$668
Realized−$5,378
Unrealized−$198
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses55 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions12
Markets (closed)79 / 91
History coverage600d
Avg bet$172
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 12 History 79 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,061
7 days−$6,150
14 days−$6,026
30 days−$5,553
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 85¢ 88¢ $100 $104 +$3 (+3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $103 +$3 (+3%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 83¢ 40¢ $200 $95 −$105 (-52%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $88 $95 +$7 (+8%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $100 $86 −$14 (-14%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 29¢ 48¢ $20 $33 +$13 (+67%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-4%)
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 24¢ 1¢ $98 $4 −$94 (-96%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 96¢ 10¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-89%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $213 +$23 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $129 −$8 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $364 −$364 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 12 $5,326 −$5,110 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$5,974
politics 26% +$434
sports 18% −$86
world 7% +$163
other 4% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $7 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $237 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $51 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -16.5% -24.5% 69% 16% -70.9%
≤30d 77 -4.8% -13.9% 70% 29% -48.0%
≤90d 77 -4.8% -13.9% 70% 29% -48.0%
all 79 -5.3% -14.3% 70% 29% -43.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 29% -43.3%
10% -22.5% 16% -48.7%
15% -30.0% 9% -53.7%
20% -36.8% 8% -58.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $667.71 · official $676.67 · 255 history records