Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:32:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe527…798a
crypto · 50 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses39 / 10
Open positions1
Markets (closed)49 / 50
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day18.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 8¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$6
other 1% $0
politics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $9 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 29% -12.5%
≤30d 49 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 29% -12.5%
≤90d 49 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 29% -12.5%
all 49 -6.0% -14.9% 80% 29% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 29% -12.5%
10% -23.1% 14% -20.9%
15% -30.5% 6% -28.5%
20% -37.3% 6% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.21 · official $0.21 (match) · 126 history records