trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Winner | CTBC Flying Oyster Academy | 17¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | T1 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $23 | $0 | −$23 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Down | 1¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Up | 5¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs | Wanted Goons | 42¢ | 0¢ | $18 | $0 | −$18 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Up | 20¢ | 0¢ | $13 | $0 | −$13 (-100%) |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | Hanwha Life Esports | 8¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner | Virtus.pro | 33¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | Jun 12 | $39 | −$14 | -37% |
| Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $21 | −$6 | -28% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | Jun 12 | $25 | −$8 | -33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $27 | −$17 | -64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | Jun 12 | $14 | −$13 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | +$6 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +81% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$3 | +51% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff | Jun 12 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo | Jun 12 | $15 | +$18 | +126% |
| Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner | Jun 11 | $8 | −$7 | -98% |
| LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win | Jun 11 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 19 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 47% | 37% | -38.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 47% | 37% | -38.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 47% | 37% | -38.5% |
| all | 19 | -20.4% | -28.0% | 47% | 37% | -38.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.0% | 37% | -38.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -34.9% | 37% | -44.3% |
| 15% | -41.2% | 32% | -49.7% |
| 20% | -46.9% | 21% | -54.7% |