Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T04:49:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
E5 0xe524…d34f sports 279 markets active 4h ago coverage 61d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 61d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$559,384 (+57%) realized +$559,384 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%127W / 152L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown49%max
Avg bet$3,529per market
Trades / day51.3pace
Fees−$10,515est.
Kalshi-fit69%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 61d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 78% +$208,674
other 22% −$16,552
world 0% +$5,339
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-0.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +39.0% +25.7% 86% 86% +30.7%
≤30d 87 +11.6% +0.9% 51% 47% +8.8%
≤90d 279 +10.2% -0.3% 46% 44% +8.6%
all 279 +10.2% -0.3% 46% 44% +8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.3% 44% +8.6%
10% -9.9% 39% -1.8%
15% ← realistic here -18.6% 35% -11.3%
20% -26.6% 32% -20.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +20% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +20% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$5,820) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +18% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
11.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4,581 vs −$2,529 · ×1.81 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.51 per $1 lost it wins $1.51
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$559,384
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses127 / 152
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$10,515
Open positions0
Markets (closed)279 / 279
History coverage61d ⚠
Avg bet$3,529
Trades / day51.3
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit69%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 279 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $24,440 +$27,560 +113%
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 18 $13,300 +$5,700 +43%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $2,045 +$1,307 +64%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $12,402 −$12,402 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $13,568 +$14,121 +104%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $17,489 +$4,511 +26%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 15 $17,820 +$4,180 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 11 $69 −$69 -100%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $9,371 +$4,009 +43%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $11,385 −$11,385 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 01 $8,093 −$8,093 -100%
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? May 31 $12 −$12 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova May 31 $344 −$344 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Claire Liu May 31 $385 −$385 -100%
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26? May 31 $158 −$158 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 31 $1,688 −$1,688 -100%
Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw? May 31 $729 −$729 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens May 31 $6,534 −$6,534 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo May 31 $9,969 +$2,787 +28%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 31 $7,576 +$7,856 +104%
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $7,041 +$11,959 +170%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-05-27? May 31 $3,139 −$3,139 -100%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-26? May 31 $3,124 −$3,124 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar May 31 $13,182 −$8,195 -62%
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelim May 31 $12,600 −$12,600 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda May 30 $1 +$2 +400%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $1,838 +$4,162 +226%
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 30 $4,472 +$3,966 +89%
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims) May 30 $5,701 +$6,075 +107%
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) May 30 $12,600 +$2,400 +19%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 30 $17,707 +$1,293 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Diane Parry May 28 $5,872 +$3,644 +62%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi May 28 $7,514 +$4,486 +60%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jenson Brooksby May 28 $134 +$20 +15%
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovic May 28 $461 +$61 +13%
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina May 28 $2,755 +$6,050 +220%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik May 28 $5,820 +$9,704 +167%
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Walton May 28 $9,257 +$7,966 +86%
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-05-27? May 28 $5,233 +$23,767 +454%
Roland Garros WTA: Simona Waltert vs Katerina Siniakova May 27 $8,599 +$4,317 +50%
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi May 27 $9,999 +$3,234 +32%
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5 May 26 $45 −$45 -100%
Will Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? May 26 $46 −$46 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-16? May 26 $45 −$45 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov May 26 $114 +$65 +57%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-20? May 26 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? May 26 $87 −$87 -100%
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense end in a draw? May 26 $99 −$99 -100%
Geneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas May 26 $203 −$203 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedev May 26 $470 −$470 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $9,854 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $26 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $532 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $7 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $10 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $40 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $124 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $235 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $103 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $1 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2,519 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2,660 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $118 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $1 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $174 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $21 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $9 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $53 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $44 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $1 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $141 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $822 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $65 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2,250 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $34 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $9 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $2 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $27 4h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score BUY No 47¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records