Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe523…7634
crypto · 35 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$7 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses16 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)34 / 35
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day124.0
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $22 +$3 +13%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 −$5 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +121%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$9 +96%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 54% +$9
other 28% −$11
sports 18% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $0 57m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 85¢ $10 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 79¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 76¢ $6 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 65¢ $5 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 62¢ $9 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 58¢ $7 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 42¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $3 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 41¢ $7 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -1.5%
≤30d 34 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -1.5%
≤90d 34 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -1.5%
all 34 -11.7% -20.1% 47% 47% -1.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 47% -1.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 41% -10.9%
15% -34.8% 29% -19.5%
20% -41.2% 21% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 136 history records