Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:07:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe522…c353 crypto 325 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (191 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,246 (-8%) realized −$4,246 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate47%154W / 171L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$171per market
Trades / day191.3pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$560
7 days−$1,812
14 days−$4,532
30 days−$4,532
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,588
sports 0% +$89
other 0% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (191 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -4.6% -13.7% 48% 47% -17.1%
≤30d 325 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 47% -17.1%
≤90d 325 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 47% -17.1%
all 325 -8.1% -16.8% 47% 47% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover191.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 47% -17.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 46% -25.1%
15% -32.1% 46% -32.3%
20% -38.7% 44% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$147 vs −$159 · ×0.92 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,246
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses154 / 171
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)325 / 325
History coverage9d
Avg bet$171
Trades / day191.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 325 Trades
no open positions (168 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $107 +$183 +172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $83 +$217 +261%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $158 +$142 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $57 −$54 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $140 +$103 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $165 +$135 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $133 +$267 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $161 +$95 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $52 −$46 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $191 +$109 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $79 −$75 -95%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $34 −$33 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $171 +$129 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $174 −$167 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $97 −$94 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $158 +$132 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $116 +$114 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $162 +$138 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $52 −$52 -100%
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) Jun 16 $121 +$79 +65%
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $152 +$98 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$60 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $257 −$249 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $202 −$195 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $270 +$230 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$106 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $310 +$290 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $7 +$13 +206%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$182 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $400 −$388 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $308 −$304 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $228 −$222 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $161 −$156 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$214 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $272 +$307 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $128 −$122 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$95 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$174 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$150 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $38 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $158 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1970 history records