trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -11.0% | -19.5% | 0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| all | 17 | -43.4% | -48.8% | 18% | 18% | -32.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.8% | 18% | -32.3% |
| 10% | -53.7% | 18% | -38.8% |
| 15% | -58.2% | 18% | -44.7% |
| 20% | -62.3% | 18% | -50.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Under | 57¢ | 28¢ | $455 | $220 | −$236 (-52%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 W | May 24 | $1,800 | −$198 | -11% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 20 | $78 | −$78 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 | Dec 19 | $162 | −$162 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 20 | Dec 18 | $198 | −$198 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Dec 01 | $230 | −$230 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3) | Dec 01 | $104 | +$127 | +122% |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Dec 01 | $107 | −$3 | -3% |
| Spread: Lions (-10.5) | Nov 23 | $284 | −$177 | -62% |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres | Nov 23 | $292 | −$8 | -3% |
| Stars vs. Flames | Nov 23 | $129 | +$163 | +127% |
| UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Nov 23 | $314 | −$314 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 20 | Nov 22 | $99 | −$87 | -88% |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025 | Nov 22 | $39 | −$37 | -96% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 22 | $123 | −$123 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 20 | Nov 22 | $144 | −$144 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 20 | Nov 22 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Hawaii vs. UNLV | Nov 22 | $479 | +$360 | +75% |