Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe517…c1ab
crypto · 126 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$43 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses60 / 65
Open positions1
Markets (closed)125 / 126
History coverage230d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 125 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 67¢ 61¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Mar 11 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Mar 11 $1 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Mar 11 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Mar 11 $0 $0 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Mar 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Mar 10 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Mar 10 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Mar 10 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Mar 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 10 $1 $0 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Mar 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Mar 10 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Mar 10 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Mar 06 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Feb 28 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Feb 27 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Feb 27 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Feb 27 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Feb 27 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 27 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Feb 27 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Feb 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Feb 27 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$63
politics 22% +$21
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $12 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 56% -1.3%
≤30d 27 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 56% -1.3%
≤90d 27 -3.4% -12.6% 56% 56% -1.3%
all 125 -9.5% -18.1% 48% 44% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.1% 44% -15.8%
10% -25.9% 38% -23.8%
15% -33.1% 33% -31.2%
20% -39.6% 22% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.91 · official $0.75 (match) · 229 history records