Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe511…5b84
crypto · 1399 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$63 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1082 / 316
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1398 / 1399
History coverage101d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$7
14 days−$55
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 68¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$62
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1117 +0.7% -8.9% 83% 34% -9.9%
≤30d 1322 -0.7% -10.2% 80% 39% -12.2%
≤90d 1335 -0.9% -10.4% 79% 38% -12.1%
all 1398 -2.1% -11.5% 77% 38% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 38% -12.1%
10% -19.9% 30% -20.6%
15% -27.7% 20% -28.2%
20% -34.8% 9% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.90 (match) · 2761 history records